POLL: GOP Seminole County Tax Collector Joel Greenberg matches up favorably against incumbent Democrat Stephanie Murphy for Congressional seat in 2020

Headline Surfer video / Seminole County (FL) Tax Collector Joel Greenberg understands that winning comes with the mantra that one can "never give up," which is why he is a 2019 entrant in the HeadlineSurfer.com Hall of Fame. This multimedia presentation features Greenberg, his wife, Abby, & their two small children; along with a few big wigs, including Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz & Gov. Ron DeSantis. This video, uploaded on May 6, 2019, has 10,432 YouTube views. Pics above for Headline Surfer: Congresswoman Stephanie Murphy is shown as is Joel Greenberg in a story below that shows Greenberg matches up favorably against Murphy for the 7th Congressional seat in the 2020 elections despite the incumbent's big-money advantage.  

By HENRY FREDERICK / Headline Surfer 

ORLANDO, Fla. -- A poll conducted by Gravis Marketing of Florida’s 7th Congressional district where incumbent Democrat Stephanie Murphy was re-elected by 15.4 points in 2018, shows “Stephanie Murphy will be hard to beat because of her financial advantage as an incumbent, but if anyone is going to defeat her it will be Joel Greenberg.” 

That's the assessment of Gravis Marketing Managing Partner Doug Kaplan.

When presented with a list of accomplishments for Greenberg in his time as Seminole County Tax Collector, 75% of voters at least “somewhat agree” that he has satisfied his campaign promise of creating a smarter, faster and more efficient government. 

Accomplishments mentioned are building a new website with a 24/7 customer service chatbot, opened three new branch offices including a drive-through service, became the only tax collector’s office in the state to be open on a Saturday, increased online transactions by 70% and reduced wait times by 50%. Greenberg also receives a 61%-16% approval rating.

When asked about whether voters have visited the Seminole County Tax Collector’s office, 36% say they have visited more than once and 17% say that they have visited once. Kaplan notes that “Greenberg will clearly win the Republican primary and has a great shot in the general election. Residents are happy with what he has accomplished as Tax Collector.” Among those who have visited the Seminole County Tax Collector’s Office more than once, Greenberg leads Murphy 48%-35%. 

When asked about whether voters have visited the Seminole County Tax Collector’s office, 36% say they have visited more than once and 17% say that they have visited once. Kaplan notes that “Greenberg will clearly win the Republican primary and has a great shot in the general election. Residents are happy with what he has accomplished as Tax Collector.” Among those who have visited the Seminole County Tax Collector’s Office more than once, Greenberg leads Murphy 48%-35%. 

Two ballot questions were asked in this Gravis Marketing poll. The first matched Murphy up against Republicans Greenberg, Valentin and Goble on the same ballot. Murphy as the only Democrat received 43% with only Joel Greenberg joining her in double digits at 20%. The second ballot question was asked after various issue questions and an explanation of some of Greenberg’s accomplishments while in office to gauge whether there is room for Greenberg to grow.

In the second question between just Greenberg and Murphy, Murphy’s lead over Greenberg is well within the margin of error at 43%-42%.

Greenberg and Murphy are both taking 11% of the other party’s voters while Greenberg leads Murphy 44%-39% among independent voters. 62% of the sample was from Seminole county where Greenberg serves as tax collector and 38% was from Orange County. Greenberg leads Murphy in Seminole County 45%-40% while Murphy leads 46%-38% in Orange County. 

Greenberg and Murphy are both taking 11% of the other party’s voters while Greenberg leads Murphy 44%-39% among independent voters. 62% of the sample was from Seminole county where Greenberg serves as tax collector and 38% was from Orange County. Greenberg leads Murphy in Seminole County 45%-40% while Murphy leads 46%-38% in Orange County. 

In the district, President Trump has a 49%-48% approval spread compared to Murphy’s 46%-35%. Voters in the district are split on impeachment with 47% approving and 46% disapproving. 45% say they are less likely to vote for Murphy because of her vote to impeach President Trump, while 39% say that vote makes them more likely to support her.

Greenberg receives 82% among those who say they are less likely to support Murphy because of her vote, while Murphy takes 83% of those who indicated that they are more likely to support her.

Among those uncertain, on the effect of Murphy’s vote to impeach Trump, 43% support Murphy while 18% support Greenberg. There are 39% of those who are uncertain about the effect of Murphy’s vote to impeach and their vote for or against her who say they are also undecided on their vote between Greenberg and Murphy. 

Trump was also tested against a generic Democratic nominee and trails 45%-43% against an unnamed Democrat. 89% of voters who said they would support Donald Trump over the democratic nominee also said they would vote for Greenberg over Murphy. Murphy receives an identical 89% of those who say they would back the Democratic nominee. Among those uncertain about the Congressional race, Trump trails 35%-23% with 42% undecided. 

This poll was conducted by Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research and data firm. This poll of 813 registered voters in Florida’s 7th Congressional District was conducted January 2nd through the 3rd and has a margin of error of ±3.4%. The survey was conducted using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. This poll was paid for by Douglas J Kaplan. Results are weighted by voting demographics. 

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Short Bio

Henry Frederick is publisher of Headline Surfer®, the award-winning 24/7 internet news outlet covering the Daytona Beach-Sanford-Orlando metro area via HeadlineSurfer.com since 2008. A longtime cops & courts reporter focused on breaking news & investigative reporting, Frederick is among the Sunshine State's most prolific daily news reporters, having amassed close to a hundred award-winning byline stories nearly evenly split in print and digital platforms. Frederick earned his Master of Arts in New Media Journalism with academic honors from Full Sail University in Winter Park in February 2019. He was a metro reporter with the Daytona Beach News-Journal for nearly a decade and then served as a city editor for the Taunton Daily Gazette in Taunton, Mass, while maintaining a residence in Central Florida. Prior to moving to Florida, Frederick was a metro reporter for the Rockland Journal-News in West Nyack, NY, for seven years. Headline Surfer was named the Sunshine State's top internet news site by the Florida Press Club in 2018.